Clinical Validation of a Circulating Tumor DNA–Based Blood Test to Screen for Colorectal Cancer
Acceptable colorectal cancer detection but poor detection of advanced precancerous lesions.
Background
Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening reduces incidence and mortality but remains underused. A blood-based screening option may improve adherence compared with colonoscopy or stool-based tests, but requires validation in average-risk populations against colonoscopy with histopathology.
Patients
- Asymptomatic, average-risk adults aged 45–85 years undergoing routine CRC screening colonoscopy.
- Key exclusions: strong family history, hereditary GI cancer syndromes, prior CRC/adenomas, inflammatory bowel disease, recent CRC screening tests.
- Evaluable cohort: 27,010 participants (median age 57 years; 55.8% women).
- Race/ethnicity: 73.0% White, 11.2% Black/African American, 8.8% Asian; 11.8% Hispanic/Latino.
Intervention
Investigational blood-based circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) test assessing plasma CpG methylation patterns associated with advanced colorectal neoplasia. Prespecified, locked classifier; testing performed blinded to colonoscopy findings.
Control
Reference standard: screening colonoscopy with histopathology (central pathology review with tiered adjudication), performed within 120 days of blood draw; all parties blinded to blood test results.
Outcome
- Primary endpoints: Sensitivity for CRC; specificity for advanced colorectal neoplasia (CRC or advanced precancerous lesions); negative predictive value (NPV) and positive predictive value (PPV) for advanced colorectal neoplasia.
- Secondary endpoint: Sensitivity for advanced precancerous lesions (eg, ≥1 cm adenomas, villous features, high-grade dysplasia/carcinoma in situ, sessile serrated lesions ≥1 cm, traditional serrated adenomas).
Study Design
Prospective, multicenter, cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study at 201 centers across 49 US states and the UAE (May 2020–April 2022). Participants, site staff, laboratory personnel, and pathologists were blinded.
Level of Evidence
Level 1 diagnostic accuracy evidence (prospective validation with appropriate reference standard and blinding; Oxford CEBM for diagnostics).
Follow up period
Cross-sectional assessment from blood draw to colonoscopy within 120 days (initially 90 days; extended due to COVID-19).
Results
Primary outcomes
- Sensitivity for CRC: 79.2% (57/72; 95% CI, 68.4%–86.9%).
- Stage-specific sensitivity: Stage I 57.1% (16/28); Stage II 100% (15/15); Stage III 82.4% (14/17); Stage IV 100% (11/11).
- Specificity for advanced colorectal neoplasia: 91.5% (22,306/24,371; 95% CI, 91.2%–91.9%).
- NPV for advanced colorectal neoplasia: 90.8% (22,306/24,567; 95% CI, 90.7%–90.9%).
- PPV for advanced colorectal neoplasia: 15.5% (378/2,443; 95% CI, 14.2%–16.8%).
Secondary outcomes
- Sensitivity for advanced precancerous lesions: 12.5% (321/2,567; 95% CI, 11.3%–13.8%).
- High-grade dysplasia/carcinoma in situ: 29.1% (32/110; 95% CI, 21.4%–38.2%).
- Safety: No serious adverse events related to phlebotomy or testing.
- NNT: Not applicable for a diagnostic accuracy study.
Limitations
- One-time diagnostic accuracy only; no head-to-head adherence or effectiveness outcomes versus other modalities.
- Uncertain optimal screening interval for this blood test.
- Lower sensitivity for advanced precancerous lesions limits preventive impact without further improvements.
- Modeling needed to quantify long-term effects on CRC incidence/mortality considering adherence and follow-up colonoscopy completion.
- Specificity decreased with age; generalizability to older subgroups may vary.
Funding
Funded by Freenome Holdings Inc., which contributed to study design; data collection, management, analysis, and interpretation; manuscript preparation; and publication decisions.
Citation
Shaukat A, Burke CA, Chan AT, Grady WM, Gupta S, Katona BW, et al.; for the PREEMPT CRC Investigators. Clinical Validation of a Circulating Tumor DNA–Based Blood Test to Screen for Colorectal Cancer. JAMA. 2025;334(1):56-63. doi:10.1001/jama.2025.7515. Published online June 2, 2025. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04369053.