Low-risk first follow-up needs no further checks
After the first follow-up colonoscopy, only patients with high-risk polyps again had higher colorectal cancer rates and likely needed a second follow-up.
*Retrospective cohort study; Level 2b (OCEBM).
Citation
Robbins EC, Wooldrage K, Rutter MD, Veitch AM, Cross AJ. Colorectal cancer incidence after the first surveillance colonoscopy and the need for ongoing surveillance: a retrospective, cohort analysis. Gut. 2025. doi:10.1136/gutjnl-2024-334242.
Background
Guidelines clearly define who should receive a first follow-up colonoscopy after polyp removal, but there is less evidence on whether more follow-up is needed after that first visit.
Patients
10,508 adults from 17 United Kingdom hospitals who had colonoscopy with polyp removal and at least one follow-up colonoscopy.
Intervention
Risk classification using polyp findings at baseline and at the first follow-up colonoscopy; assessment of need for additional follow-up colonoscopy.
Control
Colorectal cancer rates in the general population.
Outcome
New diagnosis of colorectal cancer after the first follow-up colonoscopy; and after a second follow-up colonoscopy when performed.
Follow-up Period
Median 8.0 years after the first follow-up colonoscopy (registry follow-up through 2017).
Results
| Patient group (polyp risk) |
Time period |
Relative colorectal cancer incidence vs general population |
| Low risk at baseline and first follow-up |
After first follow-up (until second follow-up or end) |
0.48 (95% confidence interval 0.34 to 0.67) |
| High risk at baseline and first follow-up |
After first follow-up (until second follow-up or end) |
2.84 (95% confidence interval 1.30 to 5.39) |
| Low risk at baseline and first follow-up |
After second follow-up (when performed) |
0.56 (95% confidence interval 0.36 to 0.82) |
Analysis approach: observational time-to-event; not randomized (no intention-to-treat/per-protocol).
Non-inferiority trial: no.
Minimally important difference: not established for this outcome.
Was the control current treatment? Comparison was to general-population rates, not an active treatment.
Limitations
Retrospective data with missing quality details; possible selection bias; reasons for repeat colonoscopies not always verifiable; very small “low-risk then high-risk” subgroup limited conclusions.
Funding
National Institute for Health Research; Cancer Research UK; funders had no role.
Clinical Application
After polyp removal, consider stopping ongoing follow-up if the first follow-up colonoscopy shows low-risk findings; prioritize a second follow-up when high-risk findings persist.