Rivaroxaban offers no benefit after AF ablation

After successful AF ablation, rivaroxaban did not lower stroke/systemic embolism versus aspirin and increased nonmajor bleeding. International, open-label randomized, blinded-outcome-assessment trial; Level 1b (2011 OCEBM).

Background

Whether anticoagulation can be safely stopped after successful atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation is uncertain.

Patients

1284 adults ≥1 year post–successful AF ablation; mean age 66; 29% women; mean CHA2DS2-VASc 2.2 (32% ≥3). Key exclusions: CrCl <30 ml/min, MRI contraindication, age >85.

Intervention

Rivaroxaban 15 mg once daily.

Control

Aspirin 70–120 mg once daily.

Outcome

Primary efficacy: composite of stroke, systemic embolism, or new covert embolic stroke (MRI ≥15 mm) at 3 years. Primary safety: fatal or major bleeding.

Follow up period

3 years.

Results

Outcome Rivaroxaban Aspirin Effect Absolute difference NNT/NNH (3y)
Primary efficacy: stroke/systemic embolism/covert embolic stroke 5/641 (0.8%) 9/643 (1.4%) RR 0.56 (95% CI 0.19–1.65) −0.6% NNT 167
Stroke or systemic embolism 5/641 (0.8%) 7/643 (1.1%) RR 0.72 (95% CI 0.23–2.25) −0.3% NNT 333
New covert embolic stroke (MRI ≥15 mm) 0 (0%) 2 (0.3%) −0.3% NNT 333
New cerebral infarcts <15 mm (imaging) 22/568 (3.9%) 26/590 (4.4%) RR 0.89 (95% CI 0.51–1.55) −0.5% NNT 200
Primary safety: fatal or major bleeding 10/641 (1.6%) 4/643 (0.6%) HR 2.51 (95% CI 0.79–7.95) +1.0% NNH 100
Clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding 35/641 (5.5%) 10/643 (1.6%) HR 3.51 (95% CI 1.75–7.03) +3.9% NNH 26
Minor bleeding 74/641 (11.5%) 20/643 (3.1%) HR 3.71 (95% CI 2.29–6.01) +8.4% NNH 12

Limitations

  • Low event rates; trial underpowered for modest effects.
  • Open-label; early enrollment stop for futility.
  • No extended rhythm monitoring; asymptomatic AF recurrence unknown.
  • Moderate-risk, relatively healthy cohort; generalizability limited for very high risk.

Funding

Bayer and device companies; public agencies; potential industry bias.

Citation

Verma A, Birnie DH, Jiang C, et al. Antithrombotic Therapy after Successful Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation. N Engl J Med. 2025; Published Nov 8. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2509688.