The effect of SGLT2 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, or DPP-4 inhibitors on stroke risk in type 2 diabetes: a nationwide longitudinal cohort study in Sweden with contextualisation analysis
In Swedish routine care, GLP-1 receptor agonists were associated with fewer strokes in adults with type 2 diabetes.
*Nationwide longitudinal cohort study; Level 2b (OCEBM).
Citation
Mavridis A, Abzhandadze T, Buvarp D, et al. eClinicalMedicine. 2026;100:104220. doi:10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.104220
Background
Type 2 diabetes increases stroke risk. Prior trials generally suggest stroke benefit with GLP-1 receptor agonists, but neutral stroke findings for SGLT2 and DPP-4 inhibitors; real-world studies have been inconsistent.
Patients
171,917 Swedish adults with type 2 diabetes first registered from 2013 to 2019. Excluded: prior stroke, insufficient data for missing-value methods, or no observable follow-up.
Intervention
Time-updated use of SGLT2 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, or DPP-4 inhibitors.
Control
Non-use of the drug class being analyzed.
Outcome
Primary: ischemic stroke. Secondary: hemorrhagic stroke and total stroke.
Follow-up Period
Mean 3.0 years; maximum 7 years.
Results
| Drug class | Outcome | Hazard ratio |
|---|---|---|
| GLP-1 receptor agonists | Ischemic stroke (primary) | HR 0.46 (95% CI 0.29 to 0.72) |
| GLP-1 receptor agonists | Total stroke | HR 0.51 (95% CI 0.33 to 0.79) |
GLP-1 = glucagon-like peptide-1; SGLT2 = sodium-glucose cotransporter 2; DPP-4 = dipeptidyl peptidase-4; HR = hazard ratio; CI = confidence interval.
SGLT2 inhibitors and DPP-4 inhibitors showed no significant association with ischemic, hemorrhagic, or total stroke. Hemorrhagic stroke results were imprecise. Analyses reflected observed treatment use over time, not randomized intention-to-treat. Total stroke findings were likely driven by ischemic stroke. Number needed to treat could not be reliably calculated from reported data.
Limitations
Observational design cannot prove causation. Missing data were substantial. Unmeasured confounding, prescription-use misclassification, and model assumptions may affect results. Swedish registry data may not generalize to all health systems.
Funding
Public and nonprofit Swedish funders; no funder role reported.
Clinical Application
For type 2 diabetes patients needing stroke-risk reduction, consider GLP-1 receptor agonists while preserving SGLT2 choices for kidney or heart failure benefits.
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